十一月股票期權倉(月結)習特會的前夕

全球矚目的習特會還有一天便展開,所有細節皆被研究一通,從參與人選、官員言論、事前部署也仔細判硏,為的便是計值博率然後落注。從大市近期表現可知大眾傾向樂觀,樂觀即是有期望,有期望即是有可能失望與出奇。是以本熊認為值博率不是55波,而是一個讓平半盤,即贏就得500;輸要賠1000 的境況。

陸sir 的文章正好說明當下處境,是以暫時回避賭少舖可能更為上算,若真係跌落黎先重新sp 過。唯一留低的是弱到一個點的蘋果,因沒有多大反彈的關係,再跌的空間反而有限。

http://hd.stheadline.com/news/columns/4/20181130/721975/


十一月結算:16.33% (回報已包括交易成本) 計及十二月啲權mark to market;另上月買入的正股700 @256.8 & 2382 @63.70,分別以平均價@297.5 & @80.43 賣出,利潤入左實貨倉計數,本熊救市基金得以暫時退場。

十一月開倉(30th updates)
700: 30th Oct short put 十一月@265.0 收4.33% (權金沒收)
; 1st Nov short call @290.0 收0.84% (28th Nov 平付2.75%)
; 2nd Nov short call @310.0 收1.06% (20th Nov 年付0.11%)
; 9th Nov long call @300.0 付0.75% (26th Nov 平收0.53%)
; 13th Nov long call @280.9 付1.19% (15th Nov 平收2.55%)
; 20th Nov short put @270.0 收0.26% (權金沒收)

2382: 26th Oct long call 十一月@85.0 付0.88% (2nd Nov 平收2.76%)
; 30th Oct short put 十一月@65.0 收5.0% (權金沒收)
; 1st Nov short call @77.5 收0.92% (權金沒收)
; 9th Nov long call @75.0 付0.95% (12th Nov 平收1.44%);12th Nov long call 付0.99% (19th Nov 平收1.49%)

2388: 31st Oct short put 十一月@27.0 收0.48% (權金沒收)
; 2nd Nov short put @30.0 收0.63% (28th Nov 平付0.1%)

939: 1st Nov short call @6.75 收0.47% (權金沒收)

6030: 2nd Nov short call @17.0 收0.38% (權金沒收)

1398: 2nd Nov short call @6.0 收0.40% (權金沒收)

175: 8th Nov short put @13.50 收0.72% (權金沒收)

AAPL: 13th Nov short put 30,Nov @180.0 收0.89% (30th Nov 平付1.10%)
; 30th Nov short put 28,Dec @170.0 收1.69%


十二月開倉
AAPL: 30th Nov short put 28,Dec @170.0 收1.69%

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