十一月股票期權倉(月結)在迷霧中戰鬥

今個月唔洗等美股期權週結,便在港股結算日收工了,十一月相對於波瀾壯闊嘅上幾個月,波幅和驚嚇度大為縮減了,對於期權short side 操作而言是少有較安穩的日子。

當然如上週文章所言,十一月香港市道舆「安穩」一詞差距十萬八千里。經歷完大三罷、暴大理大攻防戰、以及一面倒嘅區議會選舉,本熊現在有點刧後餘生嘅感覺,更覺股市走勢彷佛走在平衡時空一様。更為詭異嘅係Trump 帝選擇在美股休市、港股期結之日簽署了萬眾期待嘅「香港人權及民主法案」而期結日波幅居然只在二三百點之內,並没有跌番一千幾百點赠興。究竟係當局者迷?還是別有內情呢?我們一般市民看來只有後知後覺的份兒了。

後市如何有待分解,還是得留意中外局勢的發展:

1.中美貿談可以落實階段性協議嗎?十二月中條死缐還在嗎?
2.Trump 帝個「通烏門」彈核聽証會有大獲野爆嗎?會威脅到帝位嗎?
3.阿爺嚥得下「民主法案」啲口氣嗎?會有反制手段嗎?
4.阿爺會在短時間內像今年年初般放水救市嗎?
5.阿爺對港態度在區議會選舉後會有根本性改變嗎?
6.香港社會運動下一階段發展如何?會由街頭衝突演變為議會對抗嗎?政府還可以有效施政嗎?
7.年關在即,結業裁員潮殺到黎了嗎?會有多惨烈呢?

再列多幾個問題恐怕會嚇親自己清倉歸隱去,本熊唯有還是「懷著敬畏大市嘅本心」在迷霧中戰鬥。首要任務係保住19年嘅勝果,十二月安然渡過先啦。


Logbook 實在太長本熊都係直接講結果:

17 4.14%
NTNX 0.62%
BABA 1.26%
700 1.95%
BYND -0.96%
1810 0.39%
939 0.24%
823 1.35%
1398 1.16%

Total 10.15%

十一月結算:10.15% (回報已包括交易成本)


十月開倉 (28th Nov)

TSLA:

175:

17:
29/8 sold Nov28 11 put @4.83% (25/11 bought @-1.25%)
16/10 sold Nov28 9.75 put @0.56% (premium forfeited)

AAPL:

NTNX:
1/11 sold Nov15 27.5 put @0.68% (15/11 bought @-0.06%)
18/11 sold Dec06 23 put @1.3%
26/11 sold Dec20 28.5 put @0.58%
26/11 sold Dec20 28 put @0.58%

BABA:
4/11 sold Nov15 187.5 call @0.84% (premium forfeited)
11/11 sold Nov15 175 put @0.42% (premium forfeited)
18/11 sold Dec06 192.5 call @0.89%
20/11 sold Dec06 172.5 put @0.59%
27/11 sold Dec06 190 put @0.38%

700:
24/10 sold Nov28 300 put @0.72% (premium forfeited)
30/10 sold Nov28 320 put @1.25% (premium forfeited)
6/11 sold Nov28 350 call @0.34% (premium forfeited)
7/11 bought Nov28 340 call @-0.46% (27/11 sold @0.1%)
13/11 bought Dec30 360 call @-0.84%

3698:

BYND:
23/10 sold Nov15 95 put @6.9% (14/11 bought @-9.53%)
29/10 sold Nov15 105 call @0.66% (premium forfeited)
30/10 sold Nov22 110 call @0.65% (premium forfeited)
8/11 sold Nov22 93 call @0.36% (premium forfeited)
14/11 sold Dec20 90 put @8.9%
21/11 sold Dec20 95 call @0.65%
27/11 sold Dec20 73 put @0.68%

1810:
31/10 sold Nov28 8.25 put @0.39% (premium forfeited)

6030:

939:
4/11 sold Nov28 6.75 call @0.24% (premium forfeited)

2382:


823:
10/10 sold Nov28 75 put @0.98% (premium forfeited)
5/11 sold Nov28 80 put @0.37% (premium forfeited)

1398:
1/11 sold Nov28 6 call @0.28% (premium forfeited)
14/11 sold Nov28 5.75 call @0.37% (28/11 bought @-0.23%)
21/11 sold Nov28 5.75 put @0.94% (28/11 bought @-0.2%)
28/11 sold Dec30 6 call @0.52%

16:
13/11 sold Dec30 100 put @0.91%

留言

  1. 本熊兄月月賺10%,真係高手中的高手!
    人權法案是用來要脅班港府高官的。那港府高官只要秉承一貫[唔做唔錯]的優良傳統,甚至採取進階版 [直頭唔做] 就無問題了。

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 呢個優良傳統原來貪曾做得最好.

      刪除
    2. 三兄唔得輸打贏要㗎,上月負11%、五月曾經負34%呀。

      但本熊一直思考啲個表述有問題,啲個計法係齋用期權pool 做分母,舆實貨倉分開計,而我option vs stock 比例大概1:3 左右。

      可是自從用左IB 以後,option 旗下的「購買力」有x倍、而stock 旗下又衍生出y倍,咁本熊嘅總戰力其實係「x+y」至真。但我又一直維持1.7x 實貨持倉咁上下一直唔郁,所以由始至終都係借力打力咁囉。

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    3. 本熊兄太謙了,終的是賺已是十分強勁了!

      刪除

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