九月股票期權倉(20th updates)兩手準備

首先盤點一下九月事件的最新進展:

九月走勢注定反覆,因全球政經事件皆去到關鍵時刻:
  1. 中美互徴新關稅啟動,升級行動停否?(就像拳擊比賽般,兩名選手瘋狂搏錘之後需要回氣,各退一步檢視自己和對方狀態中)
  2. 中美新一輪貿談舉行否?(相方同意十月初進行高級別會悟,在會前皆釋出善意以圖緩和緊張氣氛)
  3. 美聯儲頂得住Trump 帝壓力無?利率政策與市場有落差否?(一如預期再減四份一釐,但沒有明確表示下一階段利率走向,Trump 帝對於聯儲局嘅行動表示可接受、但有進步空間)
  4. 英國脫鈎發展,英新首相似要舆歐盟玩show hand,佢個焦土戰成功嗎?(約翰先生個焦土策略在國內面對巨大反嚮,歐盟卻又有興致同佢玩多陣,其實佢也許也是明脫實留之輩?!)
  5. 阿爺70週年生日臨近,Trump 帝準備左甚麼大禮?(Trump 帝說為了慶祝阿爺生日,決定將加稅限期延至十月中,新一輪貿談之後)
  6. 香港運動玩到暑假完結,下一階段如何發展?(目前境況係膠著中,沒有更壊、也沒有好轉)
可以加多兩個:
  • 7. 一直笑到合唔埋嘴嘅小英今週終於遇到挫折,先有同黨嘅蓮e宣布參選界佢票、再有郭老闆退選幫老韓一把,台灣嘅選戰又再變天。
  • 8. 沙地個油田被無人機襲擊,雖有也門胡塞承認責任,但以佢嘅科技應該做唔出啲乜,所以問題係背後有乜勢力支持,會係伊朗?阿爺?以色列?還是老美自己?好讓有藉口同伊朗開拖?
以上進展嘅解釋係貿戰緩和、放水持續,阿爺重上三千點、美杜挑戰闖新高,只有港股斯人獨憔悴。

操作方面,由於美股一直在高位,sp 期結都唔敢再續住,要回番多少有啲箍臣位先再做過;另covered call 算係happy problem 繼續roll 下,等佢回先加多個sp。

港股月初殺左淡一程,本熊算佢都唔會一直升到尾,所以sp 完加番sc 平衡一下心情,就算堅回都叫做有啲收穫。本來打算若佢咁堅升至兩幻八,便會減持一部份以靜觀其變,若回番便搵位再sp 過。目前主打三隻,700 & 1810 一直回購有望築底、823 認為係陪跌only 可以逢底便short。

要重伸本熊個兩手準備,主要係將槓桿由2.x 降至1.x,及short put 忍下先唔做住或者short 遠啲。就是由109 的全攻形轉番做343 的平衡進取模式。始終十月貿談大概率有變數;另美帝國會醞釀中的「香港民主及人權法案」也不可以掉以輕心。


九月開倉 (20th Sep)

TSLA:
5/9 sold Sep20 200 put @1.3% (premium forfeited)

175:
5/7 bought Sep27 16 call @0%
6/9 sold Sep27 13.5 call @0.56%
13/9 sold Sep27 13 put @0.23%

17:
29/8 sold Nov28 11 put @4.83%

AAPL:
13/9 sold Sep27 227.5 call @0.4%

NTNX:
30/8 sold Sep20 26 call @1.9% (20/9 bought @-1.9%)
30/8 sold Sep13 22 put @0.56% (premium forfeited)
9/9 sold Sep20 23.5 put @0.65% (premium forfeited)
12/9 sold Sep20 25 put @0.65% (premium forfeited
20/9 sold Oct4 27.5 call @1.98%

BABA:
30/8 sold Sep13 177.5 call @1.69% (5/9 bought @-2.13%)
5/9 sold Sep20 180 call @2.02% (20/9 bought @-1.96%)
10/9 sold Sep20 165 put @0.67% (premium forfeited)
12/9 sold Sep20 172.5 put @0.52% (premium forfeited)
20/9 sold Oct4 185 call @1.86%

700:
2/7 sold Sep27 340 put @1.38% (5/8 bought half @-1.09%)
15/8 bought Sep27 380 call @-1.09%
28/8 sold Sep27 300 put @0.98%
16/9 sold Sep27 360 call @0.18%

3698:

BYND:
5/9 bought Sep06 175 call @-0.34% (totaled)
6/9 sold Sep20 135 put @0.84% (premium forfeited)

1810:
3/7 bought Sep27 12.5 call @0%
22/7 sold Sep27 8.5 put @1.74%
22/7 bought Sep27 10.5 call @0%

6030:
5/7 bought Sep27 19 call @0%
11/9 sold Sep27 17.5 call @0.23%

939:
8/7 sold Sep27 5.75 put @0.66%
8/7 bought Sep27 6.75 call @0%
13/7 sold Sep27 6.5 call @0.12%

2382:
11/7 sold Sep27 75 put @1.69%

823:
30/8 sold Sep27 82.5 put @1.36%
11/9 sold Sep27 87.5 put @0.62%

1398:
6/9 sold Sep27 5.5 call @0.14%

留言

  1. Hi Mr. 本熊,
    First time read your blog and appreciate your sharing. I am a total noob with call and put options and want to ask if you mean the following. Again, thanks for your sharing!

    BYND:
    5/9 bought Sep06 175 call @-0.34% (totaled)
    6/9 sold Sep20 135 put @0.84% (premium forfeited)

    5/9 bought Sep06 175 call @-0.34% (totaled) -> you bought on 5/9 a call option with strike price at 175 that will mature on 6/9. (bought call = long call). Since it did not hit 175, it was 155 USD that day, the premium (0.34%) got confiscated aka (totalled).

    6/9 sold Sep20 135 put @0.84% (premium forfeited) -> you sold a 6/9 put option with strike price at 135 that will mature on 20/9 (sold put = short put). Since it did not hit 135, it was 155.26, the premium (0.84%) is paid to you.

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