二月股票期權倉(14th updates)這是最好的時代,也是最壞的時代

大市在一片懷疑之中上升,身邊一些友人在農曆年大跌時撤退,不斷否定大市的表現,而本熊通常都會反問番兩個問題:

1. 個個都認為黎緊經濟唔好,個個都在賣,咁究竟現在邊個買緊貨呢?
2. 市道差還差,股市每日成交都有成千億,咁點解還有咁多錢現在落注的?

想明白這些問題,便不會懷疑大市的表現,大市係「成交」所構成的,而只有「成交」是永遠不會騙人的 (當然排除小眾的天仙局)。歸根究底市場係由「持份者」及其行動説了算,並非由沒有參與的「塘邊鶴」及其主觀意願所左右,這一點apply 落樓市尤其明顯。

面對這樣「扭曲」嘅市況,咁本熊又如何自處呢?簡單來說就係一面enjoy 個party;一面慢慢移近exit door 準備離去。

主要行動有:

1. BYND - 完成咗第一階段嘅挾淡倉行動,第二場戰役大概會係27th Feb 嘅業績公布,如上一篇所述本熊會抽離番多少,唔咁訓身去玩了。首先以SC 鎖定出貨價,另走一部份現貨再以SP 收定多少premium 先,萬一跌回成本已經降低不少的說。

2. BABA - 博業績之戰以失敗告終,雖然啲LC 係早前草船借箭收返黎零成本的,但好的業績被下Q保守的指引overwhelm 咗了 (因為武肺的影響),結果啲LC 即日跌近八成,最後收工只有鷄糊吃。

3. 175 - 吉利果然是本熊愛股,上月啲DITM SP 又逃出生天了,本熊決定以SP 啲浮盈博佢穿位轉勢。大摩個十五天預測有點兒欲蓋彌彰,本熊意志於是更加堅定。

4. NIO - 佢個可換股債券financing scheme 比咗個一年參考價,黎緊SP 又有著落,希望可以玩耐啲啦。

5. NTNX - 也是27th Feb 出業績,聽聞positive 居多,正在&準備參與。

這是最好的時代,也是最壞的時代,希望可以好好把握吧。


二月開倉 (14th Feb)

TSLA:

175:
20/1 sold Feb27 13.5 put @0.45%
20/1 bought Feb27 16.5 call @-0.51%
29/1 sold Mar30 14 put @4.87%
30/1 sold Mar30 14 put @6.29%
6/2 sold Feb27 13.5 put @2.06%
11/2 bought Feb27 16 call @-1.34%
11/2 bought Mar30 17 call @-2.93%
11/2 bought Mar30 18 call@-1.68%

17:
AAPL:

NTNX:
4/2 sold Feb28 27.5 put @1.56%
14/2 sold Feb28 30 put @0.78%

BABA:
27/1 sold Feb14 187.5 put @1.37% (premium forfeited)
27/1 sold Feb7 222.5 call @1.07% (premium forfeited)
27/1 bought Feb14 225 call @-2.34% (11/2 sold half @1.99%;12/2 sold 1/4 @1.82%;13/2 sold 1/4 @0.25%)
12/2 bought Feb21 230 call @-2% (13/2 sold @0.76%)
12/2 bought Feb28 245 call @-1.97% (13/2 sold @0.62%)
13/2 sold Feb28 210 put @1.3%

700:
13/1 sold Feb27 380 put @0.68%
4/2 sold Feb27 410 call @0.48%
5/2 sold Feb27 370 put @0.44%
14/2 sold Mar30 390 put@0.56%

3698:

BYND:
10/1 bought Feb21 135 call @-1.5% (totaled)
10/1 bought Feb21 155 call @-1.59% (4/2 sold @1.65%)
13/1 sold Feb21 180 call @3.79%
13/1 bought Feb21 175 call @-2.64%
13/1 sold Feb21 190 call @1.93%
14/1 sold Feb21 210 call @2.22%
14/1 bought Feb21 195 call @-2.45%
29/1 sold Feb7 130 call @2.01% (premium forfeited)
30/1 sold Feb7 130 call @1.43% (premium forfeited)
31/1 bought Feb7 105 call @-8.32% (7/2 sold @5.75%)
31/1 sold Feb7 120 call @2.01% (premium forfeited)
31/1 sold Feb14 120 call @2.08% (premium forfeited)
3/2 sold Feb7 115 call @0.89% (7/2 bought @-2.63%)
3/2 sold Feb7 110 call @1.07% (7/2 bought @-5.98%)
7/2 sold Feb7 114 put @0.65% (premium forfeited)
7/2 sold Feb14 115 call @5.53% (14/2 bought @-0.8%)
7/2 sold Feb14 125 call @2.29% (premium forfeited)
7/2 bought Feb14 106 put @-1.45% (totaled)
10/2 bought Feb21 135 call @-1.81% (14/2 sold @0.78%)
10/2 sold Feb14 130 call @1.79% (premium forfeited)
11/2 sold Feb14 115 put @1% (14/2 bought @-0.02%)
13/2 sold Feb14 118 call @0.39% (13/2 bought @-0.2%)
13/2 bought Feb14 118 call @-0.2% (14/2 sold @0.42%)
(5.24%)

14/2 sold Feb21 115 call @2.98%
14/2 sold Feb21 120 call @1.79%

14/2 sold Feb28 116 put @6.5%

1810:
17/1 sold Feb27 11.5 put @0.43%

6030:
30/1 sold Mar30 16 put @2.08%
3/2 sold Feb27 16.5 call @0.38%


939:
20/1 sold Feb27 6.5 put @0.58%
20/1 bought Feb27 7 call @-0.64%
29/1 bought Mar30 7 call @-0.33%
29/1 sold Mar30 6.25 put @1.02%
4/2 sold Feb27 6.5 call @0.2%
10/2 sold Mar30 6.25 put @0.87%

2382:

823:

1398:
29/1 sold Feb27 5.5 put @1.15%
4/2 sold Feb27 5.5 call @0.32%

16:

9988:
10/2 bought Feb27 225 call @-1.01%
14/2 sold Mar30 205 put @1.53%

2318:
29/1 sold Feb27 92.5 put @0.95%
6/2 sold Feb27 95 call @0.28%

NIO:
10/2 sold Feb28 3 put @1.1%
14/2 sold Mar6 3 put @0.87%

留言

  1. 在下反而冷冷地連續幾個星期SP隻BKNG
    可惜冇一次執到平貨

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    回覆
    1. BKNG 行個range 都好清晰、好有pattern口渴,good pick👍🏼

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  2. 吉利是我的重災區呢....好慘~~~

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    1. 若乾年後一定買唔到二十完以下嘅吉利💪🏻

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